Mock
Draft, AFD Edition:
Off last year�s mock, version 3:
� Those that explicate chaos see,
in some Ceylonese butterfly, incipient tornados in, say, Topeka.� Well, I guess; for sure, mocking drafts go
something like that.� Any trade, any
reach (any collective brainfart) in any team�s War Room fogs projections far
down the line.��� More to the point,
teams spend real money on picks and, just as a matter of due diligence, spend
real money on medical and background evals, unavailable widely.� Then there�s espionage; hundreds of little
folk trying to make good, on the great day, flinging info about the league by
E-mail, fax or, inside the hall, indiscreet body talk.� The Steelers� selection of Randle-El is a good
example of the last; ready for Denny until (it is said) some secretary blabbed,
the PS FO settled for a player who, subsequently, developed as the finest ST
weapon seen here since Rod Woodson.
�
Venality aside, the limit of human
foresight does factor.� Every team, and
every guru, wants to see �value at the spot� but it is inarguably true that
analysis of subsequent performance on the field yields little relation with
initial draft order.� ARE was a reach
but ARE had more to do with the Steelers� successes last season than any of
their �02 class.� Had the Steelers
�reached� for, say, SS Tank Williams in the 1st and FS Dante Wesley
in the 3rd (keeping Tylski for another go to compete with Vincent at
ROG) then, whatever else happened last year, we wouldn�t be talking about the
safety position today.
Since any projection is predicated
on dubious information, it�s best to measure mocks as works of fiction, rather
than evident acumen.� Any might be, more
or less, credible potentialities but set in flickering bytes, they�re more like
the lepidopterist trade than the actual life of the clan Lepidopteron.� Aiding this particular fiction then, or just
for laughs��
Dubious info for sure; there�s more draft crap on the net
than ever but that quantity doesn�t make any qualitative difference.� Plus, two years on and we�re still talking
about safety, and RG too.� Round and
round we go but if there�s any day for this kind of thing, April Fools is
it.� So:
Round One:
|
Team |
Player |
Remarks |
1.01 |
San
Diego |
Eli
Manning, QB |
San
Diego has many needs but their problems really date from when they missed out
on Peyton.� They won�t get fooled
again. |
1.02 |
Cleveland From
Oak. |
Robert
Gallery, LT |
Browns
send Tim Couch and William Green to Oakland; by selecting Gallery, they improve
at two positions, with Ross Verba moving down to LG. |
1.03 |
Arizona |
Larry
Fitzgerald, WR |
No
defense but QB suspect Josh McNown can pick his targets with 2003 O-side ROY
Anquin Bolden, 2003 1st round pick Bryant Johnson and now Fitz. |
1.04 |
NYG |
Ben
Roethlisberger, QB |
Franchise
QB who will push Kerry Collins onto the 2005 FA market. |
1.05 |
Washington |
Tommy
Harris, DT |
Skins
want to trade down but no team will deal with them.� Their D-line is a mess; Harris will play LDE in the base and
rush DT in packages.� With all those
strong-side backers, Skins could go 3-4. |
1.06 |
Detroit |
Kellen
Winslow, TE |
A
TE for the Motor City WCO; nice pairing with Charles Rogers.� The number is 17, that�s the combined
Wonderlic score for those two. |
1.07 |
Oakland From
Cleve. |
Sean
Taylor, S |
Woodson
can�t go on forever but he can play another year, and show Taylor the
ropes.� |
1.08 |
Atlanta |
DeAngelo
Hall, CB |
Atlanta
needs a #1 WR, because Peerless Price isn�t the guy; they need D-line help
too.� However, this draft is deep at
both positions but past Hall, only Ahmad Carroll has real potential as a
lockdown CB. |
1.09 |
Jacksonville |
Will
Smith, DE |
Without
a pass rush, the Jags can�t compete in the AFC South.� His campus workouts and big time
production convince the Jags that Will Smith is the new Hugh Douglas. |
1.10 |
Buffalo From
Houston |
Phillip
Rivers. QB |
Two
teams with some Pittsburgh connections conspire to snatch Rivers from the
B&G.� The Texans get a 4th
and 6th for their trouble. |
1.11 |
San
Francisco From
Pittsburgh |
Roy
Williams, WR |
In
SF, the WCO is no more.� Niners move
up to get this Williams, whose 4.37 40 convinces them he, not Mike, is the
new TO. Steelers
get the Niner�s 4th round pick this year and a 3rd in
2005. |
1.12 |
NYJ |
Kenechi
Udeze, DE |
There
are contract issues with John Abraham, who will be odd man out in that �00
class of� four 1st round
picks.� But not immediately, Abraham will
play OLB this season; picking Udeze, the Jets get better at two spots. |
1.13 |
Houston From
Buffalo |
Vince
Wilfork, NT |
In
2003, Houston was 31st in total defense, 31st in run
defense and 31st in pass defense.�
Bill Parcells once said he�d build his D-line around this player; so
will the Texans. |
1.14 |
Chicago |
Mike
Williams, WR |
Bears
go BPA, choosing impact over present need. |
1.15 |
Tampa
Bay |
Randy
Starks, DT |
Some
consider this prospect the most complete DT in the class.� RB is a big need but the Bucs need a DT
who can play now.� There are prospects
at the position in the 3rd but they�re raw.� In contrast, the RB offerings down deep
look to be significantly more ready out of the box.� |
1.16 |
Pittsburgh |
Vernon
Carey, OT |
Steelers
move down to draft at a position of absolute need.� DB is too but the 2nd round prospects are far better
at that spot than on the O-line. Most
list Carey as an OG but he played OT in 2002, and played better at that spot than
at OG last season.� The
last Miami OT to play here, Leon Searcy, also was considered (by some) an OG. |
1.17 |
Cincinnati |
Dunta
Robinson, CB |
Marvin
Lewis stays put and gets value at a position of need.� |
1,18 |
New
Orleans |
Chris
Gamble, CB |
Too
high for this guy IMO but it�s possible that the Saints will be dazzled by
this prospect�s purported athleticism.�
Then too, he is one of few CB in this draft with any size. |
1.19 |
Minnesota |
DJ
Williams, LB |
Great
athlete but Vilma is the better player. |
1.20 |
Miami |
Shawn
Andrews, OT/OG |
Fins
have got to upgrade their O-line; Andrews is a nice fix for the loss of Todd
Wade. |
1.21 |
New
England |
Reggie
Williams, WR |
Too
good to pass here; great fit for the Weis attack. |
1.22 |
Dallas |
Steven
Jackson, RB |
IMO,
the most complete RB in this class.� |
1.23 |
Seattle |
Jon
Vilma, MLB |
Seahawks
need a starter at the spot; Vilma can stay on in packages, partly offsetting
the loss of SS Reggie Tongue |
1.24 |
Denver |
Ben
Troupe, TE |
Impact
player.� |
1.25 |
Green
Bay |
Darnell
Dockett, DT |
Pack
really needs a DE but it�s early for prospects at that position; that�s true
for S too, another D-side urgency.�
However, Dockett is probably the best 3-tech DT in this draft; to
contend, GB has to give KGB some help and this prospect does have rush
ability.� |
1,26 |
St.
Louis |
Ahmad
Carroll, CB |
Small
and swift, just the way the Rams like it. |
1.27 |
Tennessee |
Ben
Watson, TE |
Not
a game-breaker in the Kellen Winslow mode but the best all around TE in the
draft, IMO. |
1.28 |
Philadelphia |
Rashaun
Woods, WR |
BPA;
has a Larry Fitz like game.� Will be
#2 to Owens (of course) but is a better player than any WR the Eagles� had last
season. |
1.29 |
Indianapolis |
Karlos
Dansby, LB |
Good
coverage backer; is big enough to replace Marcus Washington but, as yet,
lacks the strength.� Still, has speed
and that counts with Tony Dungy |
1.30 |
Kansas
City |
Lee
Evans, WR |
Chiefs
have many D-side issues but their WR are all on the wrong side of 30.� Evans has the speed that KC covets. |
1.31 |
Carolina
|
Will
Poole, CB |
As
NFL ready as he�s ever going to be. |
1.32 |
New
England |
Teddy
Lehman, LB |
Highly
intelligent player with great speed and want-to; a definite Pats type who can
bring some youth to an aging ILB corps.�
Will help in packages and on ST immediately. |
Round Two:
|
Team |
Player |
Remarks |
2.33 |
Houston |
(Tony
Hollings, RB) |
Selected
in the last supplemental draft. |
2.34 |
Arizona |
Kevin
Jones, RB |
Poor
workouts drop this player; Dennis Green snaps him up envisioning the next
Robert Smith. |
2.35 |
NYG |
Marcus
Tubbs, DT |
Giants
lost both starters at the position.�
Texas coach claimed this prospect played to the level of Casey Hampton
and Shaun Rogers. |
2.36 |
San
Diego |
Jacob
Rogers, OT |
Bolts
have nothing at the spot. |
2.37 |
Detroit |
Chris
Perry, RB |
The
people�s choice. |
2.38 |
Cleveland
|
Greg
Jones, RB |
A
pounder to pair with Lee Suggs. |
2.39 |
Atlanta |
Michael
Clayton, WR |
First
round value that fits the WCO; can develop as a� #1 WR. |
2.40 |
Jacksonville
|
Joey
Thomas, CB |
Big,
fast CB in a class that is generally small and slow.� Jags struck gold in R2 last year with Rash
Mathis; they look to do the same this spring.� |
2.41 |
Houston |
Sean
Jones, FS |
Another
playmaker from the Georgia Bulldogs.� |
2.42 |
Denver |
Mike
Jenkins, WR |
Big
WR with some speed if dubious football character. |
2.43 |
Tennessee |
Donnell
Washington, DT |
Immense
DT who can be as good as he wants to be. |
2.44 |
Buffalo |
Antwan
Odom, DE |
Each
year, Buffalo takes a DE in the 2nd round. |
2.45 |
New
England From
Pittsburgh |
Jake
Grove, OC/OG |
Pats
move up to get a replacement for Damien Woody.� Steelers
get 2.57 and 3.96 |
2.46 |
Oakland |
Keary
Colbert, WR |
In
a deep WR class, the Raiders can wait for their WR complement to Jerry Porter. |
2.47 |
San
Francisco |
Justin
Smiley, OG |
Ideal
for the Niner system. |
2.48 |
Chicago |
Michael
Boulware, SS |
Lovie
Smith made Alan Archuleta a safety and may do the same with Boulware. |
2.49 |
New
Orleans |
Dontarrious
Thomas, LB |
Can
play insider or out; productive at Auburn and had Urlacher like WO numbers. |
2.50 |
Cincinnati |
Jason
Babin, DE |
Not
a big DE but strong; is a high motor player; will play on the open side
opposite Justin Smith. |
2.51 |
Minnesota |
Kevin
Smith, CB |
High
character player with good coverage skills out of tiny McNeese State, but did
perform well at the Senior Bowl |
2.52 |
Baltimore
|
Chris
Snee, OG |
Power
OG for a power team |
2.53 |
Dallas |
Kelly Butler, RT
|
Team
leader at Purdue, unlike the other big frame OT in this draft, does have some
agility.� On the downside, did just 19
reps at Combine, needs to get stronger.�
|
2.54 |
Seattle |
Dwan
Edwards, DT |
Productive
multi-faceted DT; can play 1-gap or 2. |
2.55 |
Denver |
Tatum
Bell, RB |
Blinding
speed and can catch the ball.�
Slightly early for this player but the Broncos want to prove they�ll
not miss Portis. |
2.56 |
Green
Bay |
JP
Losman, QB |
Boom
or bust prospect; could take a lesson in football character from Brett Favre |
2.57 |
Pittsburgh (From
NE) |
Derrick Strait, DB |
Steelers
deal down towards value at DB.� At 45,
they were looking at the 3rd FS; chances are, that would be unchanged
at 57.� At 45, they were looking at
the 7th CB; chances are that would be little changed too.� If it�s not Strait that falls, then Smith,
LeSueur and/or Ware figure to be on the board.� Strait�s
stock has dipped in the off-season as it�s now said he is merely a boundary
CB.� Maybe, but it�s worth noting that
Strait, not Andre Woolfolk was #1 for the Sooners in 2002.� Woolfolk went 28th last year;
Strait would certainly be value here.�
This prospect is a two for one type; if it doesn�t work out at CB, he
has the tackling ability to move over to FS. |
2.58 |
Tennessee |
Isaac
Hilton, DE |
Titans
go for a productive small school prospect with great measurables, just as
they did last spring with Tyrone Calico. |
2.59 |
Philadelphia |
Matt
Ware, DB |
Can
go sideline to sideline; may be groomed to replace Brian Dawkins, or Bobby
Taylor |
2.60 |
Indianapolis |
Jeremy
LeSueur, CB |
Big
physical CB, should play well in the Dungy-2. |
2.61 |
New
Orleans |
Daryl
Smith, LB |
High
try guy and a good athlete; was a productive starter for four seasons at
Georgia Tech |
2.62 |
Kansas
City |
Matthias
Askew, DT |
Huge
run stopper; due to family concerns came out a year too soon.� On the plus side, he�s talented, and does have
that motivation. |
2.63 |
Carolina
|
Devery
Henderson, WR |
Moved
up fast this winter, has excellent speed; on the mid-horizon, Panthers may
lose either Smith or Mohammad.� This
player has starting ability. |
2.64 |
New
England |
Julius
Jones, RB |
Multi-faceted
RB whose receiving ability will fit in the offense. |
Round three:
|
Team |
Player |
Remarks |
3.65 |
Arizona
|
Isaac
Sopoaga, DT |
Like
Askew (and Olshansky and Siavii), another talented but raw prospect; powerful
run stopper, along with Dockett, was probably the best DT at the Senior
Bowl.�� Berry and Pace are smallish
DE; the Cards need an anchor. |
3.66 |
NYG |
Sean
Locklear, OL |
Athletic
O-lineman whose versatility will be an asset for the NYG, a team with little
upfront. |
3.67 |
San
Diego |
Keyaron
Fox, LB |
Athletic,
high try LB.� |
3.68 |
Oakland |
Bobby
McCray, DE/LOLB |
An
Al pick in the mode of Derrick Gibson, and that�s not good. |
3.69 |
Cleveland
|
Bob
Sanders, SS |
Has
tools on the order of Troy Polamalu but lacks the Trojan Torpedo�s
savvy.��� |
3.70 |
Atlanta |
Marquise
Hill, DE |
Came
out a year early; won�t help much this season but could be good down the
road. |
3.71 |
Jacksonville
|
Devard
Darling, WR |
Developing
WR with some size. |
3.72 |
Houston |
Ricardo
Colclough, CB |
A
small school player, Colclough can learn from Aaron Glenn while helping in
packages and PR/KR. duty. |
3.73 |
Jacksonville
|
Darrion
Smith, DE |
One
of a few capable closed side DE in this draft; would be re-united with Will
Smith down in Jagland. |
3.74 |
Detroit |
Tank
Johnson, DT |
Has
Tommy Harris type ability; Lions will try him in packages and hope he
develops as a replacement for Robert Porcher at LDE. |
3.75 |
Buffalo |
Jason
Peter, TE |
Played
alongside blimp Shawn Andrews in Fayetteville; may play alongside blimp Mike
Williams in Hamburg. |
3.76 |
Pittsburgh |
Derrick Hamilton, WR |
Needs
technique work but is a big WR with 4.4 speed who is willing to block and was
highly productive at Clemson.� Talent and
want-to; could be the next John Stallworth; will give the Steelers some
options in dealing with Burress next winter. |
3.77 |
NYJ
|
Marcell
Allmond, CB |
Physical
CB for a team without much size at that position. |
3.78 |
San
Francisco |
Greg
Brooks, CB |
Niners
need a quick #3 behind Plummer and Rumph. |
3.79 |
Chicago
|
Travelle
Wharton, OL |
Listed
as an OT but best position may be LG. |
3.80 |
Tampa
Bay |
Cedric
Cobbs, RB |
Coach
Gruden has no problems taking on talented players with character issues. |
3.81 |
Cincinnati |
Michael
Turner, RB |
Fast
and strong, has great balance.� Can�t
catch the ball but packs it well enough to spell Rudi for a series or three. |
3.82 |
New
Orleans |
Maurice
Clarett, RB |
Will
grow up behind the Deuce. |
3.83 |
Minnesota |
Max
Starks, OT |
Viking
type RT.� |
3.84 |
Dallas |
Igor
Olshansky, DT |
Very
raw but smart and strong; will develop nicely under Parcells. |
3.85 |
Seattle |
Stuart
Schweigart, FS |
Good
centerfielder but has tackling issues; still, will help in packages and could
develop as a running mate for Ken Hamlin. |
3.86 |
Denver |
Demorrio
Williams, LB |
Too
short for to profile higher but made a lot of plays at Nebraska.� Denver likes their LB with speed. |
3.87 |
Green
Bay |
Jason
Shivers, S |
Marques
Anderson has been a disaster at the position.� Shivers does have some warts but he can run and he will hit. |
3.88 |
Miami |
Ernest
Wilford, WR |
Glacially
slow but has good size and football instincts.� Possession receiver. |
3.89 |
Baltimore |
Bernard
Berrian, WR |
Good
speed, technically flawless, has had a serious knee injury but if that checks
out, the Ravens have value with this prospect. |
3.90 |
Philadelphia
|
Steve
Peterman, OG |
RG
only but a good one. |
3.91 |
Indianapolis |
Chad
Lavalais, DT |
Overage
and doesn�t play the run well but he can rush the passer.� He�s a high try guy and said to be a good
teammate too.� Character player. |
3.92 |
St.
Louis |
Travis
LaBoy, DE |
Undersized
but strong, fast and highly intelligent; with all the want-to of a Grant
Wistrom.� |
3.93 |
Tennessee |
Stacy
Andrews, OT |
Bigger
and more athletic than his brother; will have some time to learn behind Brad
Hopkins and Fred Miller. |
3.94 |
Kansas
City |
Matt
Schaub, QB |
Trent
Green is getting up there.� Schaub is
bright enough to master the complexities of this offense. |
3.95 |
Carolina
|
Ben
Utecht, TE |
Receiving
TE. |
3.96 |
Pittsburgh From
NE |
Tim Anderson, DE |
OSU
DT with a game that translates to the 3-4.�
Will work as a package rusher immediately; could supplant KVO as a
starter in 2005.� Just a bit early but
this player would not have gotten by Cincinnati (reportedly, that staff is
high on this prospect), or Houston in R4. |
3.97 |
Cincinnati |
Madieu
Williams, FS |
High
try playmaker, will be a ST demon.� |
First day falls:
- Nate Dorsey: A big, soft RT but smart and talented; however, that doesn�t distinguish him from Brian Rimpf, who is now a 4th round value.� Maybe, Rimpf moves up, maybe Dorsey sticks, or Max Starks slides.� One thing seems sure, just as Tony Pashos fell last season, one or more of those big slow guys won�t get called on the first day.� IMO, Stacy Andrews will bump one and other LT prospects, Adrian Jones or Marko Cavko, may displace others.
- Nate Adibi, DE:� A borderline 1st day player anyway, hasn�t developed at V-Tech.� Small school players Babin, Hilton and LaBoy were far more productive, and had better measurables.� Bobby McCray had similar measurables but more production, though that was restricted to his senior season.�
Tactical discussion:
This is a deep draft; it makes sense to accumulate picks, if possible.� In the scenario above, the PS move down twice acquiring picks they can use to address future needs.� One they used directly, to queue Tim Anderson to replace KVO and indirectly, as the PS developed the luxury to select a high value WR, Derrick Hamilton, in R3.� It�s worth noting that those positions are uncommonly deep; players who are R3 worthy this year would be much higher in some classes.�
The second pick added, the Niner�s 4th here, is noted in the following.� There�s rarely any significant trading on the second day but the Steelers do have enough picks to address additional downstream needs including:
- O-line:� On the inside, Hartings is a short-timer, Simmons is no sure thing and Vincent really doesn�t seem to fit the system.� At OT, well, at this point there�s no reason to believe that the PS will extend either Ross or Nkwenti past 2005.� IMO, the FO would do well to draft up to three O-line prospects.
- Interior LB:� Farrior will be a C$3 player after this season; Bell has yet to be extended; Foote will be entering his RFA season but has shown little to warrant an extension.�
- QB:� Maddox can�t be considered the long-term guy; Batch is signed through 2005 only; reportedly, the Steelers don�t think they have much in St. Pierre.
- NT:� Behind Hampton?� Nothing at all.
And, there�s always those traditional 2nd day picks: TE, RB, FB and safety.� Anyway, here�s one scenario:
Round 4, 4a.� Jacob
Bell, 6-5, 305#, OT/OG (OC?), Miami of Ohio:
Bell was the top O-lineman on the unit that protected Ben Roethlisberger.� Though a LT in college, Bell projects inside in the show; if he can play OC, in addition to OG and RT, he�s absolutely the guy.� Bell is a bright player and, since Miami North did run a sophisticated pro-style attack, projects to be ready to play soon.� Maybe too ready, initially, I had Bell going to the Eagles in R3; I don�t know that he�ll make it through but, regardless, there will be a value cluster in the 4th at O-line. Other prospects include:
- Nick Leckey, 6-3, 290#, OC/OG, Kansas State.� Leckey was the leader on that unit.
- Brian Rimpf: 6-6, 319#, OG/OT, East Carolina.� Rimpf is huge and smart but he doesn�t move great.� If the Steelers want to be a pull, trap-blocking team, he may not fit.� Otherwise yes, this player shut down Julius Peppers, he had a 35 on his Wonderlic and is said to play with a high degree of aggression.
- Alex Stephanovich, 6-3, 305#, OC/OG, the OSU.� Stepanovich is an OC but can play RG too.� The problem with this player is the same as with Rimpf; he lacks the movement ability that the Steelers previously have featured.�
- Tony Pape, 6-6, 323#, OG/OT Michigan.� Once regarded as a 2nd round pick, Pape�s stock dropped off sharply following a poor showing in Combine positional drills.� Pape was a RT in college but projects at RG in the show.� On the plus side, he is a high try guy and, once upon a time, scouts had some harsh things to say about Jon Runyan, another Michigan RT.� Runyan was drafted in R4 back in �96 but has developed past that humble origin.� On the downside, Pape is slow out of his stance; he might be a two-position player (RG/RT) but is something of a projection at both spots.
- Steve Peterman, 6-5, 320# RG, LSU.� In the scenario above, I had Peterman going to the Eagles.� He may fall (and, as noted, Bell may move up).� Peterman has athletic limitations but also has want-to, and has played for a winning program.� On the downside, Peterman is a one-position player, that being RG.�
In the best case, the PS comes away with a prospect that figures at more than one position.� As for single position only players, well:
Round 4, 4b.� Cody
Pickett, 6-3, 225#, QB, University of Washington.
Entering 2003, considerable Heisman hype surrounded Pickett.� However, that all floundered on Washington�s execrable O-line, and suspect playcalling.� Still, someone had to throw the ball to Reggie Williams and Pickett does have a big time arm.� He�s tough too, as you would expect from a player who participates in the roughest sport on earth, rodeo, as did his father before him.� Bronc-busting aside, it�s worth noting that Pickett played 6 games with a separated shoulder, on his throwing side.� On the downside, his mechanics have been called into question, and there is some concern about his judgment.� Still, this is a prospect with far more ability than Brian St. Pierre; he�s shown some leadership too.�
Navigating towards another value cluster, the PS might consider LB in the 5th round, either inside or out.� IMO both need and value trump on the inside, so:
Round 5:� Alex
Lewis, 5-11, 237#, ILB Wisconsin.��
Lewis has a great attitude to go with superb athletic ability (Pro Day 25 reps, sub 4.6 40); he was used as rush LB at Wisconsin so, if worst comes to worst and the Steelers lose Kendrell Bell, Alex Lewis could provide the inside rush threat absent there from Chad Brown to Contact.� Lewis� short statue may be an impediment to some teams but not the Steelers, who have no issues in that regard.� If Lewis is off the board, a couple more candidates may present including:
- Nikos Koutouvides, 6-3, 240#, Purdue.� Doesn�t have much speed but posted great times in his Combine agility drills.� Was a highly productive player at Purdue; he�s not an impact guy, like Brown, Bell and maybe Lewis, but he is a football player.
- Jorge Cordova, 6-2, 242, LB/DE, Nevada.� Another player with want-to; was a rush DE at Nevada but worked at MLB in a couple post-season tilts.� Ran an average of 4.69 in Pro Day workouts.�
If those LB are off the board, the Steelers could go OLB in R5 too, but IMO Troy Fleming, RB out of Tennessee would be BPA.� Fleming was a highly regarded RB coming out of HS but disappeared behind Jamal Lewis, Travis Henry and Cedric Houston.� Those are some good backs; to Fleming�s credit, he sucked it up and developed as a contributing FB.� Back in �90, the PS had some luck drafting a college FB for conversion to RB; that man was Barry Foster, who just might be Fleming�s avatar.�� Fleming is 6-0, 230#; he ran a sub 4.5.� Athletically, he�s as good as any RB in this class; character-wise, well, to help his team, he did commit to the obscurity that is the FB position.
Reverting to that value cluster notion:
Round 6, 6a:� Brandon
Kennedy, 5-10, 336#, NT, North Texas.
The Steelers must have a NT in back of Hampton.� Kennedy is in the same fireplug mode and IMO would be best value at the spot.� Chad Pugh is another plugger type; on the downside, Pugh put up just 19 reps in his drills.� The third guy is Ahmad Childress, who is huge but very soft.� Childress is approaching DND status IMO; I�d consider Jon Bradley of Arkansas State ahead of him.� Or:
Round 6, 6b:� Trevor Johnson, 6-5, 260#, DE/LB/TE, Nebraska.�
High motor player who is moving up on many boards; at this point, the Steelers may have to consider him in R5.� Johnson is another high try guy.� He�s raw as a rusher but he will apply himself.� In the interim, since he began as a TE, he may fit here as a 3rd at that position, in the Mike Vrabel mode.� Other candidates include Uyi Osunde (who could go higher, but his injury history makes that a dubious pick), Reggie Torbor or Marcus Jones.� However, past Johnson, better value may be had at safety with:
- Gibril Wilson, 6-0, 197#, Tennessee.�
- Rashad Washington, 6-3, 219#, Kansas State.
Round 6, 6c:� One player rated too low on some boards (Huddle Report has him as a deep 6th) is Kris Wilson, 6-2, 246# TE/FB, Pittsburgh.�
Wilson ran 4.6 and did 25 reps; he is a quality receiver at TE who has the speed to split safeties; however, his short stature has dumped him down on some boards.� IMO, this player is a 4th round value; if he does fall, even to 6a, the PS should snap him up.� If nothing else, he would beat out Matt Cushing for that all-important 3rd TE, 2nd FB slot. ���If not Wilson, and that�s highly unlikely, maybe a pure FB such as Lousaka Polite, or Mike Karney; ideally, Thomas Tapeh but it�s highly unlikely that the top FB will be on the board.
Round 7:� Any number of O-linemen including Ryan Lilja, 6-3, 276#, OG/OC, Kansas State who was part of the interior unit that stood up Tommy Harris and the Sooners.
Postscript:
As I said, it�s fiction.� In the first round, I invented that Buffalo/Houston trade to avoid having to decide on Phillip Rivers. Now, that�s a believable deal, fact having some reflection in fiction, but, say, it doesn�t happen and the Steelers do draft Rivers; or Will Smith, who, as the #2 DE, might be available (presuming the Jags prefer Udeze).� The thing that links Rivers and Smith is this: while either may be value at the spot, neither play those positions of most pressing need.� In the Cowbert Era, need previously has trumped but:�
Pick |
Player |
Remarks |
1.11 |
Phillip Rivers, QB or Will Smith, DE/LOLB |
Either have some transformative value, Rivers as, possible, a franchise QB; Smith as a legitimate rush DE in packages, and an elephant-style OLB in the 34.� |
2.45 |
Kelly Butler, RT |
An absolute must have; past Butler, OT prospects drop off the table |
3.76 |
Ricardo Colclough, CB |
9th to 11th CB; pick from Colclough, Allmond or, maybe, LeSueur drops through. |
4 |
Nick Leckey, OC/OG |
Two-position interior prospect; at present, the PS have single-position interior players: Simmons, Okobi and Vincent. |
5 |
Alex Lewis, ILB |
As noted, the PS faces a number of contractual issues at this spot. |
6a |
Brandon Kennedy, NT |
Another value cluster, but Kennedy would be far the best choice. |
6b |
Gibril Wilson, FS |
The Steelers should be so lucky. |
6c |
Shawn Johnson, DE |
At this point, Carstens and Corey Williams are probably off the board. |
7 |
Reggie Torbor, OLB |
D-side depth prospect-X. |
In the scenario above, the PS goes O-side early, drafting D-side depth late.� The FO would not trade out of 1.11 and, considering the OT class, could not trade out at 2.45.� Therefore, they�d lack the picks to get ahead of their WR and DE contract issues.� Too bad, but the more likely projection is unaltered in that regard as:
Pick |
Player |
Remarks |
1.11 |
Dunta Robinson, CB |
Some like him but he�s a reach at 1.11 IMO. |
2.45 |
Kelly Butler, OT |
Must have, IMO. |
3.76 |
Bobby McCray, DE/OLB |
The PS have drafted many a hybrid DE/OLB in this round.� Coach Cowher was in FLA for UF�s Pro Day. |
4 |
Leckey, OC |
Assuming the FO gets in front of their 2005 issues inside. |
5 |
Ben Hartsock, TE |
PS will probably extend Bell and could be fine with Foote.� Hartsock blocks and may be a decent RZ receiver. |
6a |
Kennedy, NT |
PS must have a NT. |
6b |
Johnson, DE |
Whichever DE. |
6c |
Drew Carter, WR |
Whichever WR |
7 |
Augie Hoffman, OG |
Boston College has sent many an O-lineman to the show. |
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