Smitter�s Week 1 Picks:
Here I am, back for a second season of picking the games against the spread here on Stillers.com. Last year wasn�t so good. My regular season mark was 124-132, 48.4%. My playoff record was even worse, 5-6 45.4%. Better luck this year. My First Look Goodies (FLG) was better, 27-24, 52.9%, about breaking even with the bettors. My FLG�s are the 2 or 3 games a week, that when looking at the pointspreads for the first time seem like good bets.
Pittsburgh (-1 �) over Miami � Even without Ben, in front of 68,000 wild, crazy, drunk, Stiller fans, Batch and the defense will do enough to win. Prediction � a rookie scores a TD.
St Louis (+ 3 �) over Denver � I like most home underdogs in the first week or so of the season. With the game on turf, I like St� Louis in this one.
Tennessee (- 2 �) over N.Y. Jets � For no reason other than I don�t think Chad Pennington will ever be a productive QB.
New England (- 9 �) over Buffalo � Buffalo could be in for a long season.
Tampa Bay (- 3 �) over Baltimore � Steve McNair will last about two and a half quarters before getting hurt.
Kansas City (- 2 �) over Cincinnati � Larry Johnson may run for close to 200 yards in this one. Let�s see just how well Palmer�s knee is in a real game.
Detroit (+ 6 �) over Seattle � I think this game is a few points too high. Detroit hangs tough at home against the Super Bowl losers.
Carolina (- 6 �) over Atlanta � Michael Vick in for a long day.
Houston (+ 4 �) over Philadelphia � Houston, at least for a week, gives the home crowd something to be excited over.
Cleveland ( - 3 �) over New Orleans � The Browns actually favored???? Reggie Bush excites the Dog Pound, but not enough for a Saints� victory.
Dallas (+ 2 �) over Jacksonville � Bledsoe and TO get along � at least for a week.
Green Bay (+ 3 �) over Chicago � Green Bay looked putrid in the pre-season. Chicago still can�t score.
Arizona (- 7 �) over San Francisco � Revamped Cardinals� offense runs wild on San Fran defense.
NY Giants (+ 3 �) over Indianapolis � Eli wins Round 1 of the Manning Bowl. Peyton got to wait 4 years for rematch.
Washington (- 4 �) over Minnesota � Washington begins what it hopes is a run at the NFC East title with a fairly easy (early) Monday Night win against the Vikings.
San Diego (- 3 �) over Oakland � Philip Rivers off to a winning start against the woeful Raiders in the (late) Monday Night game.
Kansas City over Cincinnati
Arizona over San Francisco
San Diego over Oakland